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Hypergeometric Distribution Calculator

The hypergeometric distribution models the probability of k successes in a sample drawn from a finite population without replacement.

Total items in the population (e.g. 52 cards in a deck).

Number of successful items in the total population (e.g. 4 aces).

Number of items drawn without replacement (e.g. 5-card poker hand).

Number of observed successes in the sample draw.

Calculated Result
3.993%

P(X = 2)

P(X = 2 Successes)

3.993%

Expected Value E(X)

0.385 successes

Sample Draws (n)

5 items

Population Total (N)

52 items (4 successes)

Calculation Breakdown

  1. Hypergeometric Combinatorial FormulationP(X = 2) = [C(4, 2) × C(48, 3)] ÷ C(52, 5) = 3.9930%.
  2. Expected Value of SuccessesE(X) = n × (K ÷ N) = 5 × (4 ÷ 52) = 0.385 successes.

Aces Probability in 5-Card Poker Hand

Interactive visualization based on your current inputs

P(X = k)
0.0163349660 Aces1 Ace2 Aces3 Aces4 AcesNumber of AcesProbability (%)

What Is the Hypergeometric Distribution Calculator?

A hypergeometric distribution calculator determines combinatorial probabilities for finite finite-population sampling without replacement.

How Does the Hypergeometric Distribution Calculator Work?

Evaluates binomial coefficients across favorable and non-favorable subsets relative to total sample combinations.

Hypergeometric Distribution Calculator Formula & Variables

The core mathematical equation utilized by this calculator is expressed as:

P(X = k) = [C(K, k) × C(N - K, n - k)] ÷ C(N, n)

Multiplies combination of choosing k successes from K by combination of choosing remaining failures, divided by total sample combinations.

How to Use the Hypergeometric Distribution Calculator

  1. Input population size N, total population successes K, sample draws n, and desired sample successes k.

Step-by-Step Example Calculation

Drawing 2 Aces in 5 Cards from a 52-card Deck

Input Values:

popN:52
popSuccessesK:4
sampleN:5
sampleSuccessesk:2

Understanding Your Result

Outputs exact probability of observing precisely k successes and expected mean successes in the draw.

Factors That Affect the Result

  • Population size and sample proportion.

When Should You Use This Calculator?

  • Card gaming odds, lotteries, manufacturing acceptance sampling without replacement, and wildlife capture-recapture studies.

Assumptions & Limitations

  • Items cannot be sampled more than once in a single trial.

Frequently Asked Questions

Calculation Accuracy & Reference Note

Exact combinatorial formulation.

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